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Technology and transition: ‘Progressive Evolution of Regimes and the Consequences for Energy Regime Change

机译:技术与过渡:‘制度的演进和能源制度变迁的后果

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摘要

Transition of energy systems has been under-theorised. We have argued previously that energy efficiency as a strategy for fossil fuel replacement is inadequate as energy demand is not being reduced by efficiency alone. This paper is intended to elaborate further on the reasons. We require better answers to better questions about the nature of energy regimes and how they resist change. Our present-day socio-technical energy regime is a global integrated technical arrangement based on cheap high-yield energy sources (fossil fuels) with built-in ‘progressive’ social and economic directions. This ‘progressive’ change relies on cheap energy as a resource towards ever greater global integration and economic efficiency. Energy regime change will be not a tinkering at the edges but will require a dismantling of this ‘progressive’ tendency with radical retrogressive economic and social consequences. We conclude a change of our relationship with energy will require the reversal of a contingent ‘progressive’ tendency that is as old as mankind and the necessarily modest building of a new infrastructural apparatus designed to a new ‘end’, or the reversion to previous low or lower demand apparatus based on non-fossil energy sources. Both solutions would imply major social and economic changes which we will deal with in another paper.
机译:能源系统的过渡理论不足。先前我们曾争论过,由于仅靠效率并不能减少能源需求,因此不能将能源效率作为替代化石燃料的一种策略。本文旨在进一步阐述其原因。我们需要更好的答案,以更好地回答有关能源体制的性质以及它们如何抵抗变化的问题。我们当今的社会技术能源制度是一种全球集成技术安排,其基础是廉价的高收益能源(化石燃料),并内置了“渐进式”的社会和经济方向。这种“渐进式”的变化依靠廉价能源作为实现全球一体化和经济效率不断提高的资源。能源政权的变化不会在边缘地区进行修补,而是需要消除这种“渐进式”趋势,而这种趋势会带来严重的经济和社会倒退后果。我们得出结论,要改变我们与能源的关系,就需要扭转一种与人类一样古老的偶然“进步”趋势,并必须适度地建造一种旨在适应新“终点”的新基础设施,或者将其恢复到以前的低点。或基于非化石能源的低需求设备。这两种解决方案都将意味着重大的社会和经济变化,我们将在另一篇论文中进行探讨。

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